TDP may win in 50% of seats in Telangana by-elections

Telugu Desam Party (TDP) will surprise political analysts with strong performance in Telangana by-elections by winning in more than 40% of seats that are going to polls. According to TDP sources, it is leading in 2 Parliamentary constituencies and 8 Assembly seats with just 1 week left for polling. Congress may not win in more than 2-3 Assembly seats. TRS is hoping on rising Telangana sentiment. TDP analysis:

Loksabha seats: TDP may win 2 seats out of 4 Parliamentary constituencies. Telugu Desam has no hopes on Karimnagar and Hanamkonda seats.

1. Warangal: Telugu Desam candidate Yerrabelli Dayakara Rao is leading but growing Telangana sentiment may tilt the tide in favour of TRS in the last minute.

2. Adilabad: Venugopala Chari will win this seat.

Assembly seats: Telugu Desam Party will win in 6-8 Assembly constituencies in Telangana by polls. TDP is contesting in 14 segments leaving Musheerabad and Cheriyal to CPI (M). BJP candidate Laxman is leading in Musheerabad due to sympathy factor as he lost by narrow margin in the the 2004 Assembly elections. TRS will win in Siddipet and Kamalapur by massive margin. TDP is betting big on Adilabad, Rangareddy, Mahaboobnagar and Warangal districts.

1. Secunderabad: TDP is ahead despite set back in Cantonment polls. There is severe anti-incumbency against TRS candidate.

2. Alair: Narsimhulu will win despite indifferences among TDP leaders.

3. Dommat: Muthyam Reddy is far ahead here.

4. Station Ghanpur: Kadiyam Srihari is leading over TRS candidate Vijayarama Rao.

5. Huzurabad: Peddireddy will win by narrow margin.

6. Vikarabad: Strong candidate, anti incumbency against TRS candidate and traditional stronghold.

7. Jadcherla: Stiff competition between TDP and Congress. Congress may spend heavily in the last moment.

8. Khanapur: TDP can easily win here.

Verdict: TRS is gradually building Telangana tempo (sentiment) with the help of educated people especially in Warangal, Karimnagar, Nizamabad and Medak districts which may change the situation by the time of polling. Second leg of campaign by TDP president Chandrababu Naidu may help the Telugu Desam candidates to retain the edge especially in Warangal and Adilabad districts.

My opinion: Telugu Desam Party should support “Separate Telangana moment” and respect people sentiment. This is my personal opinion.

Image courtesy: Telugu Desam.org

TDP targets 8 assembly seats

Telugu Desam Party hopes to win 8 assembly seats in the upcoming Telangana by polls along with 2-3 Loksabha seats. TDP is contesting in 15 assembly seats and 4 Loksabha constituencies. TDP leadership is concentrating all its energies and sources in these segments and may win another 2-3 seats if TDP can able to solve infighting among leaders. All these seats are tradition strongholds of Telugu Desam party since 1983 Assembly elections. TRS won these seats in 2004 elections due to anti incumbency and Telangana sentiment.

Analysis of Loksabha seats:

1. Adilabad: TDP has high hopes on this traditionally TDP bastion.

2. Warangal: TDP fielded strong candidate but Telangana sentiment is very high in this segment.
3. Karimnagar: Telugu Desam has no hopes on this constituency but it will work hard to increase vote percentage.

4. Hanamkonda: Close contest.

Analysis of Assembly segments:

High hopes: Vikarabad, Jadcherla, Khanapur, Station Ghanpur, Secunderabad, Huzurabad, Dommat and Alair. TDP will win in these seats according to internal surveys. If it will win in Station Ghanpur, it is a severe blow to TRS.

TDP can win if work hard: Ramayampet and Yellareddy.

No hopes: Siddipet.

Please share your opinion on Telugu Desam prospects in Telangana byelections.

Source: Eenadu news daily.

TDP Candidates for Telangana by-elections

Telugu Desam party president Nara Chandrababu Naidu announced strong candidates for the Telangana by-elections in Piduguralla during “Mee Kosam” programme. TDP strategically postponed prestigious “Mahanadu” event due to these elections. If Mahanadu were held, TDP will need to announce its opinion on key Telangana issue and party cadre needs to spend more time on Mahanadu which will hamper election preparations. TDP leaders in Telangana will be disappointed as they are hoping for pro-Telangana announcement from Chandrababu Naidu in Mahanadu.

Telugu Desam party candidates for Telangana by elections:

Loksabha candidates:

1. Karimnagar: L. Ramana – In Karimnagar, all major parties fielded same candidates who contested during last by elections. If KCR wins with lesser majority (which will happen) than last by election, it is a severe blow to Telangana movement. Anti-Telangana groups will highlight this and especially it will come as a handy tool for YSR.

2. Warangal: Yerrabelli Dayakar Rao. Though he is reluctant to contest, Party succeeded in fielding this giant in TRS stronghold.

3. Hanamkonda: B. Venkateswarlu.

4. Adilabad: L.Venugopalachari. TDP has high hopes on this Loksabha segment.

Assembly candidates:

1. Secunderabad: Talasani Srinivasa Yadav. TDP is ahead in this constituency.

2. Vikarabad: Sanjeeva Rao. TDP will wrest this seat from TRS due to anti-incumbency and strong candidate.

3. Jadcherla: Chandrasekhar. Congress and TDP are ahead in this constituency.

4. Siddipet: Ravindra Reddy. Harish Rao of TRS will win this seat by more than 50,000 votes according to analysts.

5. Dommat: Muthyam Reddy.

6. Myadaram: Mallesam.

7. Ramayampet: M. Hanmanatha Rao. TDP has high hopes in this segment. Severe anti-incumbency against Padma Devender Reddy of TRS.

8. Station Ghanpur: Kadiyam Srihari.

9. Kamalapur: M. Damodar Reddy.

10. Huzurabad: Peddireddy.

11. Therlam: T. Laxminaidu. Election is a formality here.

12. Yellareddy: J. Surender.

13. Dichpalli: M. Venkateswara Rao.

14. Khanapur: Ramesh Rathod.

15. Alair: M. Narsimhulu. Chandrababu Naidu failed to control infighting in this seat which is a TDP bastion.

16. Khairathabad: TDP is not contesting here.

17. Musheerabad: TDP allocated this seat to CPM. BJP is ahead in this seat due to sympathy towards BJP candidate.

18. Cheriyal: TDP allocated to CPM as part of alliance.

Latest TDP news:

1. Dayakara Rao started his campaign in Warangal.

2. Nannapaneni Rajakumari fainted due to sun stroke during “Mee Kosam” programme in Piduguralla.

TRS is ahead in most constituencies but TDP is building momentum in most segments due to strong candidates and traditional strongholds.