Telugu Desam Party (TDP) will surprise political analysts with strong performance in Telangana by-elections by winning in more than 40% of seats that are going to polls. According to TDP sources, it is leading in 2 Parliamentary constituencies and 8 Assembly seats with just 1 week left for polling. Congress may not win in more than 2-3 Assembly seats. TRS is hoping on rising Telangana sentiment.
TDP analysis:
Loksabha seats: TDP may win 2 seats out of 4 Parliamentary constituencies. Telugu Desam has no hopes on Karimnagar and Hanamkonda seats.
1. Warangal: Telugu Desam candidate Yerrabelli Dayakara Rao is leading but growing Telangana sentiment may tilt the tide in favour of TRS in the last minute.
2. Adilabad: Venugopala Chari will win this seat.
Assembly seats: Telugu Desam Party will win in 6-8 Assembly constituencies in Telangana by polls. TDP is contesting in 14 segments leaving Musheerabad and Cheriyal to CPI (M). BJP candidate Laxman is leading in Musheerabad due to sympathy factor as he lost by narrow margin in the the 2004 Assembly elections. TRS will win in Siddipet and Kamalapur by massive margin. TDP is betting big on Adilabad, Rangareddy, Mahaboobnagar and Warangal districts.
1. Secunderabad: TDP is ahead despite set back in Cantonment polls. There is severe anti-incumbency against TRS candidate.
2. Alair: Narsimhulu will win despite indifferences among TDP leaders.
3. Dommat: Muthyam Reddy is far ahead here.
4. Station Ghanpur: Kadiyam Srihari is leading over TRS candidate Vijayarama Rao.
5. Huzurabad: Peddireddy will win by narrow margin.
6. Vikarabad: Strong candidate, anti incumbency against TRS candidate and traditional stronghold.
7. Jadcherla: Stiff competition between TDP and Congress. Congress may spend heavily in the last moment.
8. Khanapur: TDP can easily win here.
Verdict: TRS is gradually building Telangana tempo (sentiment) with the help of educated people especially in Warangal, Karimnagar, Nizamabad and Medak districts which may change the situation by the time of polling. Second leg of campaign by TDP president Chandrababu Naidu may help the Telugu Desam candidates to retain the edge especially in Warangal and Adilabad districts.
My opinion: Telugu Desam Party should support “Separate Telangana moment” and respect people sentiment. This is my personal opinion.
Image courtesy: Telugu Desam.org
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Undoubtedly, he is the most popular leader among the cadre. He was the face of the Party for the first 2 years. He is the hope for cadre. His speeches in the Assembly and outside inspired the cadre especially during the turbulent period of 2004-06. He got maximum applause even during TANA meetings in Chicago. 














